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hepburnjunior42 · January 15, 2012 at 5:08 pm

January 15, 2012 at 5:08 pm

Source: StopSweatyArmpits.com

There are many ways to make money in the financial markets, but if this was such an easy endeavor, then everybody would be trading while drinking umbrella drinks on their private islands. I mean with all the bright blinking lights, talking baby day traders, and software bells and whistles, how difficult could it actually be??

Unfortunately, financial markets have a way of driving grown men (and women) to tears, usually when confidence is at or near a peak. The best investors leave their emotions at the door and follow a systematic disciplined process. Investing can be a meat grinder, but the good news is one does not need to have a 90% success rate to make it lucrative. Take it from Peter Lynch, who averaged a +29% return per year while managing the Magellan Fund at Fidelity Investments from 1977-1990. ?If you?re terrific in this business you?re right six times out of 10,? says Lynch.?

Sweating Way to Success

If investing is so tough, then what is the recipe for investment success? As the saying goes, money management requires 10% inspiration and 90% perspiration. Or as strategist and long-time investor Don Hays notes, ?You are only right on your stock purchases and sales when you are sweating.? Buying what?s working and selling what?s not, doesn?t require a lot of thinking or sweating (see Riding the Wave), just basic pattern recognition. Universally loved stocks may enjoy the inertia of upward momentum, but when the music stops for the Wall Street darlings, investors rarely can hit the escape button fast enough. Cutting corners and taking short-cuts may work in the short-run, but usually ends badly.

Real profits are made through unique insights that have not been fully discovered by market participants, or in other words, distancing oneself from the herd. Typically this means investing in reasonably priced companies with significant growth prospects, or cheap out-of-favor investments. Like dieting, this is easy to understand, but difficult to execute. Pulling the trigger on unanimously hated investments or purchasing seemingly expensive growth stocks requires a lot of blood, sweat, and tears. Eating doughnuts won?t generate the conviction necessary to justify the valuation and excess expected return for analyzed securities.

Times Have Changed

Investing in stocks is difficult enough with equity fund flows hemorrhaging out of investor accounts like the asset class is going out of style (See ICI data via The Reformed Broker). Stocks? popularity haven?t been helped by the heightened volatility, as evidenced by the multi-year trend in the schizophrenic? volatility index (VIX) -? escalated by the ?Flash Crash,? U.S. debt ceiling debate, and European financial crisis. Globalization, which has been accelerated by technology, has only increased correlations between domestic market and international markets. As we have recently experienced, the European tail can wag the U.S. dog for long periods of time. In decades past,? concerns over economic activity in Iceland, Dubai, and Greece may not even make the back pages of The Wall Street Journal. Today, news travels at the speed of a ?Tweet? for every Angela Merkel? ? Nicolas Sarkozy breakfast meeting or Chinese currency adjustment, and eventually results in a sprawling front page headline.???

The equity investing game may be more difficult today, but investing for retirement has never been more important. Stuffing money under the mattress in Treasuries, money market accounts, CDs, or other conservative investments may feel good in the short run, but will likely not cover inflation associated with rising fuel, food, healthcare, and leisure costs. Regardless of your investment strategy, if your goal is to earn excess returns, you may want to check the moistness of your armpits ? successful long-term investing requires a lot of sweat.

Wade W. Slome, CFA, CFP?

Plan. Invest. Prosper.

www.Sidoxia.com

DISCLOSURE: Sidoxia Capital Management (SCM) and some of its clients own certain exchange traded funds, but at the time of publishing SCM had no direct position in ETFC, VXX, or any other security referenced in this article. No information accessed through the Investing Caffeine (IC) website constitutes investment, financial, legal, tax or other advice nor is to be relied on in making an investment or other decision. Please read disclosure language on IC ?Contact? page.

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Entry filed under: Education. Tags: Angela Merkel, Don Hays, equity investing, Europe, flash crash, globalization, inflation, Nicolas Sarkozy, Peter Lynch, VIX, volatility.

Source: http://investingcaffeine.com/2012/01/15/sweating-your-way-to-investment-success/

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hepburnjunior42

BEVERLY HILLS, Calif. ? There are 17 cameras scattered throughout the Beverly Hilton's International Ballroom, capturing the action inside the Golden Globes, but even they can't see everything. From the cocktail lounge to the outdoor smoking patio to the winner's walk through the kitchen, here's a running look at the starry happenings you didn't see on TV:

3 p.m. PST ? Maybe he was afraid they would lock the door on him. Golden Globes host Ricky Gervais, whose sharp-tongued wisecracks ruffled the feathers of some celebrity attendees at last year's show, was among the first to arrive for this year's Golden Globes. He got here two hours early, stopping outside long enough to say he won't mind being offensive again ? as long as he's funny.

___

3:59 p.m. ? Burning a couple of their 15 minutes of fame: Two men holding Ernst & Young metal briefcases, presumably with the winners' envelopes inside, proudly pose for photos at the International Ballroom stage where the show will take place.

___

4:03 p.m. ? Just about an hour to showtime and the early arrivals are doing a little star-gazing of their own. Big-screen TV monitors are showing all the action on the red carpet outside, and Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie have just arrived.

___

4:10 p.m. ? "Slumdog Millionaire" star Freida Pinto needed some triage help in the ballroom's women's restroom, where makeup artists and hair stylists are on hand for quick fixes. Pinto's fashion emergency: threads from the red carpet were clinging to the hem of her sweeping teal blue dress. A quick swipe of a sticky tape roller had her back at the party.

___

4:29 p.m. ? A fashion disaster is narrowly avoided as Michael Fassbender tells Tilda Swinton he almost stepped on her dress as they made their way down the red carpet. After playfully pretending to attack him, Swinton begins to walk away but stops abruptly when she really does feel a foot on her dress. Fassbender laughs and tells her that one was deliberate.

___

4:39 p.m. ? Paul Giamatti walks briskly down the carpet, ignoring cameras and reporters, just before an announcement urging everyone to get inside prompts a stream of stars to head for the door.

___

4:45 p.m.: Let the ridiculing of the rich and famous begin. "He's no doubt going to rip me apart," a smiling Gerard Butler says as he prepares for Ricky Gervais' opening routine.

___

4:46 p.m. ? It's Angelina Jolie's world and we just live in it. While everyone else is rushing for the door, Jolie remains on the red carpet, continuing to grant interviews. Asked to name one thing she's most looking forward to this evening, she laughs and says, "Getting into bed with Brad."

___

4:49 p.m. ? Now that voice of authority is inside the ballroom and it's saying: "Please take your seats. We're 10 minutes from showtime and we have to start on time."

___

5:15 p.m. ? As Laura Dern accepts her Golden Globe for best actress in a comedy TV series, sitting in the audience beaming with pride is another Golden Globe winner, her mom Diane Ladd. Dern's mother won her Golden Globe in 1981 for best supporting actress in a series, miniseries or movie made for TV.

___

5:16 p.m. Fifteen minutes into the show, a late arriving Queen Latifah finally gets to take her seat in the ballroom. Latifah, who arrived three minutes into Gervais' opening monologue, had to stand in the back until she was shown to her seat next to Mary J. Blige.

___

5:18 p.m. ? "Downtown Abbey" creator Julian Fellowes had to run to make it back to his seat before the show resumed after the first commercial break. If he thought he was going to catch his breath he was wrong. He had to jump right up and head toward the stage to accept the best miniseries or TV trophy for the show.

___

5:25 p.m. ? Who has time to sit down for dinner when there are awards to hand out? One of the night's first presenters, Mila Kunis, is seen downing finger sandwiches straight off the platter in a cocktail lounge adjacent to the ballroom.

___

5:35 p.m. ? The champagne and wine are flowing freely at the backstage bar, but Jane Lynch of "Glee" is sticking to the alcohol-free beer. Before taking a sip she stopped to pose for pictures with a starstruck waiter.

___

5:47 p.m. ? Let's not forget there were an important football game going on during much of the first hour of the Golden Globes. Awards presenter Ashton Kutcher didn't. Almost an hour into the show he took to Twitter to ask, "Who won the game?" For the record, it was the New York Giants coming out on top 37-20 against the Green Bay Packers.

___

5:48 p.m.: Even stars have to wait in line for the ladies room at the Golden Globes, as Jessica Alba discovered. After letting out a quiet curse, the actress passed the time by chatting with security guards as she waited for the long line to go down.

___

6 p.m. ? The bigger the name, the quieter the room. When stars like Michelle Williams or Madonna accept their awards the audience shuts up and listens to what they have to say. Not so for lesser-known winners. During their acceptance speeches the hubbub often gets so loud that the room fills with "shhhs."

___

6:01 p.m. ? Debra Messing takes a break from holding hands with co-presenter Katharine McPhee to share a hug and kiss with Salma Hayek.

___

AP Entertainment Writer Anthony McCartney contributed to this story.

AP Entertainment Writer Sandy Cohen is on Twitter: www.twitter.com/APSandy.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/celebrity/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20120116/ap_en_ce/us_golden_globes_chatter

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hepburnjunior42

UFC 142 pre-show Fight Day Live is back this afternoon. Host Dave Farraa and Megan Olivi will guide you through the full fight card and all of the biggest news in the UFC.

Source: http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mma-cagewriter/heavy-ufc-142-fight-day-starts-6-p-173728511.html

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hepburnjunior42

Restore Our Future, the super PAC backing Mitt Romney, has spent $8.9 million on the 2012 Republican presidential primary, more money than any other group. Throughout the fall it held its fire, even as Ron Paul pumped money into ads in Iowa and New Hampshire, and Rick Perry?s super PAC launched hefty buys in the Hawkeye State and South Carolina. But when Newt Gingrich rocketed to the top of the polls in early December, just as voters began tuning into the race, the pro-Romney group pounced. Beginning the week of Dec. 5, Restore Our Future began buying ads in Iowa to snuff out the Gingrich threat. Under the weight of attacks that questioned everything from Gingrich?s temperament to his consulting arrangement with Freddie Mac, the former Speaker limped to a fourth-place finish in Iowa.

Once it started buying ads, Restore Our Future never stopped. The $153,017 it spent that first week increased to $1.04 million the next, where it stayed relatively level until the week of Jan. 2, when the race shifted to New Hampshire. Romney?s support in the Granite State required less reinforcement, so Restore Our Future?s spending plummeted to $583,299 the week before the New Hampshire primary, before ratcheting back up to $2.1 million the following week. Even more ads ? at least $2.58 million worth ? will run next week, the last before the Jan. 21 South Carolina primary, where Romney hopes to all but sew up the nomination.

The trajectory of Restore Our Future?s spending is instructive. Examining where and when candidates and allied groups have allocated their advertising resources ? and where they?ve opted to pass ? offers a revealing peek into how campaigns and their outside backers perceive their respective paths to the nomination. New data acquired by TIME shows how Perry and Paul pinned their presidential hopes on strong starts, as well as how Rick Santorum?s lack of fundraising muscle hampered his late charge in the caucuses. It also reveals how Romney won the New Hampshire primary relatively uncontested, and why he?s likely to coast again in Florida.

Graphic: click to enlarge

With $4.3 million in ad buys, plus another $1.6 million from his allied super PAC, Perry was the single biggest spender in Iowa. Paul?s campaign checked in second at $2.8 million (though Romney spent more if you tally both his campaign and PAC). Both began buying ads early; Paul?s first, tiny buys came back in August, while Perry was running spots widely by late October. But Perry?s spending has petered off as the candidate?s fortunes have faded, plummeting from a weekly combined high of $1.4 million the week before the caucuses to just $366,000 this week. Paul, by contrast, has slowly gained strength in the polls, giving him the ability to spend heavily in the weeks before the caucuses, where he finished a strong third, and continue funneling cash to New Hampshire, where he was the only candidate apart from Romney and Jon Huntsman to amplify his message by going up on the air.

Santorum?s spending tells a different story. The narrative his campaign has spun is that somehow, after holding 300-odd events across Iowa, caucus-goers finally got wise to the brand of conservatism the candidate was selling. There?s no question his dogged schedule helped, but that?s not what turned things around. Santorum was mired in single digits in mid-December when the Red, White and Blue Fund ? a super PAC that backs him ? launched a six-figure television ad buy on his behalf. A week later, he was in double digits, lending his campaign a positive narrative that sparked further interest. By caucus night, the group had poured $529,550 dollars in ads touting Santorum?s conservative record to Hawkeye State voters. Foster Friess, the Wyoming investment manager instrumental in stocking the group?s coffers, bounded into Santorum?s caucus night party in Johnston, Iowa, with a broad smile, having spent the past two days traveling with Santorum amid the excitement of the surge Friess helped spark. Now, after holding their fire in New Hampshire ? a decision that raises questions about the campaign?s decision to spend so much time on the ground in the Granite State rather than skip ahead ? Santorum?s money men are back, announcing a $600,000 ad buy in South Carolina ahead of the pivotal Palmetto State primary, where Santorum hopes to become the conservative movement?s Romney alternative.

Like Santorum, Huntsman posted up in a single primary state and tried to ride a late surge to an upset victory. When his polls climbed in the final week before New Hampshire, Huntsman pointed to a heavy retail schedule that mirrored Santorum?s Hawkeye State barnstorm. But Huntsman?s campaign narrative, like Santorum?s, largely ignored the role ads played in his rise. Our Destiny, the Huntsman-allied super PAC, spent a shade over $2 million in the Granite State, more than any campaign or group supporting them.

The big losers in New Hampshire this year were the media outlets; the state saw just $5.3 million in broadcast, cable and radio ad buys. By contrast, candidates dumped $16.5 million into Iowa and have already spent at least $9 million in South Carolina, a figure that?s poised to swell as the air assault begins raining down in earnest. Between his campaign and Restore Our Future, Romney alone has sank more money so far into Florida?s Jan. 31 primary ? $6.1 million ? than the total tab for all the campaigns and their various backers in New Hampshire.?The perception that Romney?s lead in New Hampshire was insurmountable appeared to sway competitors into allocating their capital elsewhere.

For Newt Gingrich, that cash will be spent in South Carolina, where he promises to launch the kind of blistering blitzkrieg he endured in Iowa. All across the state, Gingrich lamented Romney?s barrage of negative ads, promising to eschew such tactics because, he said, the American people were tired of the cyncial, consultant-driven campaign model. Gingrich?s promise not to go negative lasted until he had the money to change course. His super PAC, Winning Our Future, has already bought $1.6 million in South Carolina spots and, after reportedly receiving a $5 million infusion from billionaire casino mogul Sheldon Adelson, signaled its intention to pump in $3.4 million more. If the group?s new, 28-minute documentary-style assault on Romney is any indication, its characterization of the former Bain Capital boss won?t be gentle.

If Romney gets dinged by the air wars in South Carolina, he?s likely to quickly recover in Florida. The state?s size and large number of major media markets make it prohibitively expensive for minor-league outfits to play there. The result? Romney is the only Republican who?s been up on air in the Sunshine State. His competitors can?t hope to beat him if they?re not even playing the game.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/us/*http%3A//us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/external/time_rss/rss_time_us/httpswamplandtimecom20120113whatadspendingsaysabouteachgopcandidateandtheirsuccessxidrssnationyahoo/44166277/SIG=13ter25n6/*http%3A//swampland.time.com/2012/01/13/what-ad-spending-says-about-each-gop-candidate-and-their-success/?xid=rss-nation-yahoo

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hepburnjunior42

BAGHDAD ? Iraq's Sunni deputy premier called Friday for Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki to step down and warned that the country's festering political crisis risks sparking a wider sectarian conflict in the region.

Deputy Prime Minister Saleh al-Mutlaq stood by an earlier charge that Iraq is becoming a new dictatorship under al-Maliki, a Shiite. He said Iraqis could eventually rise up violently if al-Maliki remains in his post, and pushed for a parliamentary vote of no-confidence in the prime minister if he remains in office.

"The longer al-Maliki stays in power, the higher the possibility of a divided Iraq," al-Mutlaq said during an interview at his office in Baghdad's heavily fortified Green Zone.

A spokesman for al-Maliki dismissed al-Mutlaq's comments, saying they are "not worthy of a response."

Al-Mutlaq's Sunni-backed Iraqiya party has been boycotting parliament and Cabinet meetings since last month to protest what it sees as efforts by al-Maliki to consolidate power, particularly over state security forces.

Al-Maliki's government, meanwhile, has demanded the arrest of the country's top Sunni politician, Vice President Tariq al-Hashemi of Iraqiya, accusing him of running a hit squad targeting government officials.

Al-Hashemi denies the allegations. He remains holed up in Iraq's semiautonomous northern Kurdish region. He is staying as a guest of Iraqi President Jalal Talabani, a Kurd, and is effectively out of reach of security forces under Baghdad's control.

Although Iraqiya is a nonsectarian party, it depends heavily on support from Sunnis.

The boycott and standoff over al-Hashemi has paralyzed Iraq's government, and pits the leaders of the country's mostly ethnic- and sectarian-based blocs against each other.

Iraq's Sunni minority dominated the government under the dictatorship of Saddam Hussein, but since he was overthrown, Shiites have controlled government.

The political feuding has been accompanied by a recent string of bloody attacks, raising fears of a new sectarian rift that could destabilize Iraq now that U.S. troops have left the country. Many fear the crisis will push Iraq toward a renewal of the large-scale sectarian fighting that pushed the country to the brink of civil war in 2006-7.

"The whole region is going to pay the price of the chaos that may occur in Iraq" if the political crisis continues and al-Maliki retains power, al-Mutlaq said. "Maybe what Iran wants to do is have the Arabs in Iraq fight (other Sunni-dominated Arab states) on behalf of their regime."

Iraq's Shiites have deep religious ties to neighboring Iran, and look to the overwhelmingly Shiite country for political support. Several Iraqi Shiite politicians spent years living in Iran during Saddam Hussein's rule, and Iran is believed to support Shiite militia groups within Iraq.

Al-Maliki's spokesman, Ali al-Moussawi, responded by saying "al-Mutlaq is now outside the political game, so of course he will make comments like this against the head of the Iraqi government."

Iraqiya leaders including al-Mutlaq, as well as some al-Maliki aides, have been shuttling between Baghdad and the Kurdish region to seek support and ostensibly resolve the crisis in recent weeks.

Al-Mutlaq suggested the Kurds ? a valuable political bloc ? could be moving closer to Iraqiya's point of view as the political stalemate drags on.

"The Kurds are getting more convinced that continuing to support the al-Maliki government is a mistake ... and maybe boycotting Parliament is one of the ways to pressure the government to change," he said.

Kurdish officials couldn't immediately be reached for comment.

The U.S. has been pushing Iraq's bickering factions to work out their differences.

Deputy Secretary of State William Burns arrived in Iraq on Friday and would meet with a broad cross-section of Iraqi leaders, State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said.

"What we are continuing to do is to impress upon senior Iraqi politicians the importance of direct dialogue with each other to resolve their differences and to work towards a solution that represents the interests of all Iraqis," she said. "We don't think it's helpful for Iraqi politicians to be hashing out their differences in the media."

Al-Mutlaq is a contentious figure in Iraqi politics. The anti-Iran politician was banned from running in the last elections because of alleged ties to Saddam's disbanded Baath party, but was allowed to resume his political life under a government power-sharing agreement that includes Iraqiya. He is one of three deputy prime ministers.

Al-Maliki is now seeking a vote of no-confidence against al-Mutlaq, potentially laying the groundwork for his ouster or arrest. He has stationed tanks and soldiers outside his deputy's office ? an order al-Mutlaq called on al-Maliki to rescind.

Al-Mutlaq last month characterized the prime minister as a dictator in a TV interview while the Shiite leader was visiting Washington. He stood by that charge Friday.

"Why should I regret it? I only said the truth," he said.

___

Associated Press writers Qassim Abdul-Zahra and Sameer N. Yacoub in Baghdad, and Bradley Klapper in Washington contributed to this report.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/iraq/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20120113/ap_on_re_mi_ea/ml_iraq

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hepburnjunior42

Manager Scooter Braun tweets from studio where singer is working on Believe.
By Jocelyn Vena

Justin Bieber
Photo: George Pimentel / WireImage

With Justin Bieber in full-on album recording mode, his longtime manager, Scooter Braun, has heard just what the teen star is up to and wants everyone to know that Believe is a game changer for the singer.

"Wow!! In the studio with @justinbieber and #Believe is going to be ridiculous!!!" he tweeted about the 17-year-old's 2012 release. Braun's message came the same day that Bieber announced that he's officially working on the project.

"Start recording full time for #BELIEVE today. let the fun begin! #newMusic," he tweeted on Tuesday, hours later adding, "#studio."

But it seems that he'll take a break to hit up the Consumer Electronics Show, which is currently underway in Las Vegas. "Gonna see what is coming next. #gadgetNERD," he proclaimed.

While Bieber has said that he wants his next release to recall Justin Timberlake's Future Sex/Love Sounds sonically, in a recent interview with V magazine, he noted that what he'll be singing is a bit more PG than the topics Timberlake covered on that album.

"I'm not going to try to conform to what people want me to be or go out there and start partying, have people see me with alcohol. I want to do it at my own pace," Bieber says in the issue. "I don't want to start singing about things like sex, drugs and swearing. I'm into love, and maybe I'll get more into making love when I'm older. But I want to be someone who is respected by everybody."

Bieber may not want to get too graphic on this album, but vocal producer Kuk Harrell did note to MTV News that he will be maturing on it in his own way.

"The only conversation we've had about Justin's album that we're about to do is it's really important that it's the proper transition because we've seen him [with] 'Baby,' now we're watching him grow up," said Harrell, who also worked with the singer on Under the Mistletoe. "And we can't just throw him into the adult game right away. It has to be the proper transition. There's a record in between."

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